👋 Excited to read more in 2024. I found myself wondering, though, if it would actually *help* Trump if DeSantis drops out, given that DeSantis voters say they'd switch to Trump over Haley by an almost 2:1 margin. With no DeSantis or Ramaswamy, might Iowa have gone 70-75% Trump, 25-30% Haley? Is it possible the anti-Trump folks calling for DeSantis to drop out are fighting 2016's battle, and have 2024 exactly backwards? https://abcnews.go.com/538/stands-gain-desantis-drops-haley-christie/story?id=106101489
Great question re how do the votes move after a candidate drops out ... a curveball to add in: do they still show up and vote? ... that’s the X factor I’ve been hearing about up here
👋 Excited to read more in 2024. I found myself wondering, though, if it would actually *help* Trump if DeSantis drops out, given that DeSantis voters say they'd switch to Trump over Haley by an almost 2:1 margin. With no DeSantis or Ramaswamy, might Iowa have gone 70-75% Trump, 25-30% Haley? Is it possible the anti-Trump folks calling for DeSantis to drop out are fighting 2016's battle, and have 2024 exactly backwards? https://abcnews.go.com/538/stands-gain-desantis-drops-haley-christie/story?id=106101489
Great question re how do the votes move after a candidate drops out ... a curveball to add in: do they still show up and vote? ... that’s the X factor I’ve been hearing about up here